What are the unbox rates for the new Weapon Cases?

Question

I attempted at one point to unbox a new Weapon Case in TF2, but I had mixed opinions about doing so in the first place and I didn't end up with a desirable item. So that got me thinking.

What exactly are the percentage probabilities of getting a Strange or Unusual skin, or a higher-tier skin from the specific case's collection in better condition?

Answer 1

The other answer is correct about the weapon rates. I couldn't find any data about skin quality rates or Strange/Strange Unusual rates and they likely aren't known. We can speculate that the Strange drop rate is about the same as the Strange drop rate for Festive weapons, but I couldn't find any hard numbers for those either. People like to pin it around 10-20% but that's just a guess. Unfortunately, we're not likely to get a whole lot of new insight on it. Presumably, the rate for a Strange Unusual weapon would be the Strange chance * Unusual chance, which would put it around 0.1-0.2%.

Answer 2

if you are referring to power house and concealed killer cases. then you have 6.60% of chances in acquiring any of the weapon listed on the case. and a 1% chance of it being unussual

Answer 3

• Turbine Torcher Flame Thrower (16%)
• Low Profile SMG (16%)
• Aqua Marine Rocket Launcher (16%)
• Brick House Minigun (16%)
• Lightning Rod Shotgun (16%)
• Sandstone Special Pistol (3.2%)
• Black Dahlia Pistol (3.2%)
• Dead Reckoner Revolver (3.2%)
• Spark of Life Medi Gun (3.2%)
• Flash Fryer Flame Thrower (3.2%)
• Pink Elephant Stickybomb Launcher (1.06%)
• Current Event Scattergun (1.06%)
• Shell Shocker Rocket Launcher (1.06%)
• Liquid Asset Stickybomb Launcher (0.04%)
• Thunderbolt Sniper Rifle (0.04%)