How often do Rainbow Puddings drop?

I am playing Final Fantasy IV on iOS and trying to obtain the `Rainbow Pudding` for the Namingway quest by farming Yellow Jellies in the Antlion Den.

I gather that the drop rate for the pudding should be around 0.4%, though I am not sure if that is per group of four (as the jellies appear) or per jelly.

In any case I have killed close to 2000 jellies and no pudding yet. I have also, I note, killed over 400 Admantoise but have never seen one drop a tent (its rare drop).

Is the lack of Rainbow Pudding drops an issue with FF4 on iOS, a feature I am unaware of, or is this just a bit of bad luck?

• I thought the pink ones dropped that (the super rare ones in the last dungeon) not the common ones elsewhere... finalfantasy.wikia.com/wiki/Flan_Princess_(Final_Fantasy_IV) Commented Jan 27, 2013 at 3:29
• You may want to read up on the Gambler's Fallacy Commented Jan 27, 2013 at 3:39
• @LessPop_MoreFizz thx; contra law of large numbers. Note .04^2000 is 1.32x10^-2796. If that math for probability of a repeated event is correct (96% of failure repeated 2000x), it is more likely that your entire family will be eaten by wolves in the next hour than a rainbow pudding to not have dropped over 2000 repeated events! ;) Commented Jan 27, 2013 at 9:35
• If you have the Treasure Hunter augment (from completing 100% of all dungeon maps), it doubles the drop rate. You get it before the final dungeon boss. Commented Jan 27, 2013 at 15:52
• I think the odds of repeated outcome of non-rainbow pudding is 0.996 ^ 2000 ~= 0.00033 (3.3%) over 2000 iterations. Commented Jan 27, 2013 at 16:32