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I checked the TV on my last day of Spring - Year 1 and it said that it would rain tomorrow. SCORE! I can prep fields to start planting right away tomorrow (well, after the seed shop opens). After spending the time tilling the soil and fertilizing, I go to sleep, excited to jump into Summer without having to water day 1.

Overnight there was an event that shook things up.

From what I can find online (Spoilers Guide) the earthquake always happens end of Spring - Year 1.

Not only that, it wasn't raining the next day!

Now I'm beginning to doubt if I checked the weather correctly.

Is the weather report ever incorrect? Was this because of the other event that happened overnight or that the season changed? What other events might cause the weather to be different than what the TV says? Did I just fail to remember what the friendly weather person told me?

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  • On my very first day (day 1), the TV told me it'd rain the next day, but it actually rained on day 3 instead of day 2. I'm not quite sure if I just misinterpreted the forecast, though.
    – Nolonar
    Commented Mar 6, 2016 at 22:39
  • Same thing happened to me, except it was windy weather instead of rain. I think its only wrong in corner cases like this. When the seasons change there's a new set of possible weather conditions.
    – user86571
    Commented Mar 7, 2016 at 1:41
  • 3
    The only time I've noticed it being "wrong" was when I checked it after midnight and it gave me the next next day's weather, so it was actually right. … Though come to think, that may count as a bug worth reporting, since you can get two days' weather that way. Commented Mar 7, 2016 at 3:24
  • (…and of course, I haven't been able to reproduce it since writing that comment.) Commented Mar 28, 2016 at 18:34

3 Answers 3

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With a couple exceptions for forced weather events, the report is 100% accurate. From the official wiki:

Bugs:

  • The TV will not necessarily be accurate for Spring 2 or 4, or Summer 13 or 26.
  • The TV will predict stormy weather on Summer 25th, but not the 26th. If the player does not check the TV forecast on the 25th, it may not be stormy.

In Year 1, Spring 2 and 4 are guaranteed sunny days. In all years, Summer 13 and 26 are guaranteed to be thunderstorms.

My reading of these bugs would be that on (for example) Summer 12, the game tries to randomly generate weather for Summer 13 and makes a TV report for it. Then when Summer 13 begins, the weather is overridden to be thunderstorm regardless of what the TV said. I have not verified these bugs myself, or whether they have been fixed in any versions since that wiki page was edited.

The earthquake on Summer 3 is not mentioned as a weather disrupting event. Based on the date of the original question, other bugs may have been present at the time of asking which are no longer a problem, or possibly the bug listing on the wiki page is incomplete!

Regardless, there is no RNG associated with whether the weather report is correct. Outside of these handful of dates, the TV report will always be 100% accurate.

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From personal experience I can confirm that on multiple occasions weather report was wrong about today's weather.
Both with wrongly forecasting rain (when a sunny day actually happened) and with failing to forecast it (sunny forecast with an actual rain).

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Sometimes the weather report says it's going to be sunny, but the next day it's raining.

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