So for example, on average, a strategy that kills one wolf at the cost of 2 village members would be a good strategy?

1 Answer 1


If we take the assumption in your question title to be correct, then yes, your suggested strategy would, by definition be +EV for the village to take.

It is always the responsibility of the wolves in the game to mislead the village into making incorrect lynches however, and I don't think that in a game with 18 standard villagers there would be any reliable way to create such a lynching strategy as your question proposes.

  • I probably should've said "village members". Dec 4, 2019 at 10:57

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