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I know that there is a chance that you can find a beehive in a flower forest in Minecraft and that you can spawn one in with a sapling next to a flower, but what are the chances that a beehive will actually spawn next to a tree (Grown by a player), and how exactly do I do it?

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A 5% Chance. However, for that chance to start happening, you'd need to make sure that a flower is no more than two blocks away from your oak/birch saplings, and that the flower and sapling are on the same elevation.

As quoted by the MineCraft Gamepedia;

"5% Oak or birch trees grown from saplings that are within 2 blocks of any flower on the same y-level have 5% chance to grow with a bee nest containing 1–3 bees."

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I don't know the exact chances there will be a beehive on a tree once you grow it but you can just use the command /setblock ~ ~ ~ minecraft:beehive and it will spawn one wherever you are standing.

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