So I just got Prime status in CS:GO and wanted to open my first case. I saw on YouTube and other platforms that when a yellow boy slides by in cases (Rare special items), people seem to always get them instead of miss them. So my question is: Are you guaranteed to get the rare special item when it appears on the case?

  • I don't have any data to back this up, but in my experience no. Anything that is not the result can be discarded as filler.
    – Riley
    Commented Mar 31, 2022 at 13:48

2 Answers 2


As a CS:GO player with over 900 hours, I feel equipped to answer this question.

In the past, when a Gold item would appear whilst opening a case, it was possible for it to slide past and cause you to miss out on it.

However, now if a Gold item appears, you are guaranteed it will land on that and award you with a knife/pair of gloves.


No, there are no guarantees that you'll get something, it's all by chance. As far as I'm aware these drop rates have to made public due to gambling laws in China and other places. That being said there are a couple of stats available online that are shared through Chinese communities as well as some people online testing it for themselves.

Category 1: Weapon boxes that require a key to open

Mil-spec (Blue): 79.923%
Restricted (Purple): 15.985%
Classified (Pink): 3.197%
Covert (Orange): 0.639%
Exceedingly Rare (Yellow): 0.256%

Class 11: Capsules containing premium, exotic quality prints

Normal Drops: 83.333%
Rare Drops: 16.667%

And so on...

What you see on YouTube and other sites are usually edited to make it seem like they're getting constant winning, usually to boost viewership.

  • 2
    I think you have misunderstood the question. They are not asking about there being a guarantee of receiving something; they are asking if a Gold item were to appear when opening a case, are they guaranteed it will land on this. I have provided a separate answer to this question but thought I would bring it to your attention that you may have misunderstood
    – Oast
    Commented Apr 1, 2022 at 20:54
  • 1
    @Oast You're correct, I seemed to misunderstand the question somewhat by the way it was worded. I can remove the answer if you feel it's irrelevant. Commented Apr 1, 2022 at 21:06

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